Idea

The changing nature of Conflict

Kristin Thue • 14 September 2020
Group 5

1) In 2045, <<competition for resources & global supply chains >> might result in <<regional & interstate/intrastate conflict, instability>>

Globally, this would mean that <<disruption of supply chain, demand for resources, management of these – authoritarian elites leveraging resources for political gain, developing country access to elite resources, corruption of political elites>>.

For the UK this would create << economic impacts on UK? Global institutions need to adapt framework and ensure distribution, minimising role of the global market and increasing regulatory mandate. WTO’s role in global supply chains & resources, neoliberalist critique à carving out new roles for institutions. >> because <<description>>

This would mean <<post-Brexit UK will need to be much more expansive in its trade relations, creating opportunities to take on a leading role to find alternative frameworks >> and the UK might want to respond by <<>>

 

In 2045, <<rogue actors and cyber security, hacking, misinformation spread, fake news, conspiracy theories, private actors in power on the global proliferation of information>> might result in <<echo chamber ideologies, solidification of identities, erosion of trust in credible news sources, anti-establishment mistrust>>

Globally, this would mean that <<populist governance, authoritarian regimes, anti-cooperation and isolationist ideology (exemplified by strongmen politics)>>.

For the UK this would create <<similar to global implications, diplomatic relation deteriorating, large scale “cancel culture” and inconsistent governance among allies>> because <<>>

This would mean <<>> and the UK might want to respond by <<>>